Rockies at D-backs
Last play · Adrian Del Castillo pops out to second baseman Chad Stevens.
Win probability
D-backs0%
COL 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 2 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+159 / -194
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chad Stevens singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Sterlin Thompson scores. (inning 9) — -34% Rockies
9Chad Stevens singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Sterlin Thompson scores.3–2
8TJ Rumfield doubles (9) on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Hunter Goodman scores.2–2
5Jake McCarthy out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Willi Castro scores. Ezequiel Tovar to 3rd.1–2
4Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Troy Johnston. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 2nd.0–2
2Lourdes Gurriel Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Nolan Arenado scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
