Dodgers at D-backs
Last play · Nolan Arenado flies out to left fielder Alex Call.
Win probability
D-backs0%
LAD 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 5 – 0 AZ
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 49.4% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Mookie Betts scores. (inning 2) — -24% Dodgers
7Alex Freeland singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Max Muncy scores. Will Smith scores. Alex Call to 3rd.7–0
3Max Muncy singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Freddie Freeman scores. Kyle Tucker to 2nd.5–0
3Freddie Freeman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tommy Troy. Shohei Ohtani scores. Andy Pages scores.4–0
2Kyle Tucker homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Mookie Betts scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
