Angels at D-backs
Last play · Nolan Arenado grounds out, second baseman Nick Madrigal to first baseman Nolan Schanuel.
Win probability
D-backs0%
LAA 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 5 – 0 AZ
Angels led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+144 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wade Meckler singles on a line drive to center fielder Jordan Lawlar. Jo Adell scores. (inning 2) — -15% Angels
8Donovan Walton hits a ground-rule double (5) on a line drive to right-center field. Logan O'Hoppe scores.7–0
6Mike Trout doubles (12) on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Denzer Guzman scores. Logan O'Hoppe to 3rd.6–0
5Mike Trout homers (17) on a fly ball to center field. Zach Neto scores.5–0
4Donovan Walton singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Denzer Guzman scores. Logan O'Hoppe out at home on the throw, right fielder Corbin Carroll to catcher Adrian Del Castillo.3–0
3Zach Neto homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
2Wade Meckler singles on a line drive to center fielder Jordan Lawlar. Jo Adell scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
