Twins at D-backs

Scoreboard

MIN4–AZ2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Chase Field · MIN 38-41 · AZ 39-38

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	4	11	1
AZ	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	1

Last play · Ketel Marte flies out to center fielder Kody Clemens.

Win probability

D-backs0%

MIN 100%AZ 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 0 – 2 AZ

D-backs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 9 ↑

fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+113 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

D-backs favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Alex Jackson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Ryan Kreidler scores. Josh Bell scores. Alex Jackson to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Corbin Carroll. (inning 7) — -41% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–AZ · 4 total

9Trevor Larnach doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tim Tawa. Austin Martin scores.4–2

7Alex Jackson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Ryan Kreidler scores. Josh Bell scores. Alex Jackson to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Corbin Carroll.3–2

7Josh Bell singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jorge Barrosa. Royce Lewis scores. Ryan Kreidler to 3rd.1–2

2Ketel Marte doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kyler Fedko. Nolan Arenado scores. Ildemaro Vargas scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.