Cardinals at D-backs
Last play · Iván Herrera lines out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
Win probability
D-backs100%
STL 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 5 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 47.4% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-101 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Moreno singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. (inning 3) — +12% D-backs
9Jimmy Crooks homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.3–5
6Masyn Winn grounds into a force out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to second baseman Ketel Marte. Alec Burleson scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd. Lars Nootbaar out at 2nd. Masyn Winn to 1st.2–5
6Jordan Walker singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.1–5
4Ketel Marte singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Ryan Waldschmidt scores. Ketel Marte to 2nd.0–5
3Nolan Arenado doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Gabriel Moreno scores. Max Kepler scores.0–4
3Gabriel Moreno singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar.0–2
2James McCann singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jordan Walker. Gabriel Moreno scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
