Athletics at D-backs
ATH5–
AZ15Last play · Henry Bolte lines out to right fielder Jorge Barrosa.
Win probability
D-backs100%
ATH 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 2 – 9 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+123 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Moreno homers (7) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 5) — +25% D-backs
9Alika Williams out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Tommy White scores.5–15
9Lawrence Butler singles on a fly ball to right fielder Jorge Barrosa. Donovan Walton scores. Tommy White to 3rd.4–15
8Tyler Locklear singles on a line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Ryan Waldschmidt to 3rd.3–15
7Jonah Heim singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Jeff McNeil scores. Lawrence Butler to 3rd.3–14
6Ryan Waldschmidt out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lawrence Butler. James McCann scores.2–14
6Tim Tawa doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Nolan Arenado scores. Ildemaro Vargas scores. James McCann to 3rd.2–13
6James McCann singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Gabriel Moreno scores. Nolan Arenado to 3rd. Ildemaro Vargas to 2nd.2–11
6Gabriel Moreno walks.2–10
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.