Dodgers at D-backs
Last play · Ryan Waldschmidt grounds into a double play, pitcher Jack Dreyer to second baseman Tommy Edman to first baseman Freddie Freeman. Jorge Barrosa out at 2nd. Ryan Waldschmidt out at 1st.
Win probability
D-backs0%
LAD 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 0 AZ
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-134 / +125
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
D-backs favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corbin Carroll triples (13) on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Geraldo Perdomo scores. (inning 9) — +42% D-backs
10Shohei Ohtani singles on a ground ball to first baseman Tim Tawa. Kyle Tucker scores. Hunter Feduccia to 2nd.2–1
9Corbin Carroll triples (13) on a line drive to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Geraldo Perdomo scores.1–1
8Kyle Tucker homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
