Rangers at Athletics
Last play · Darell Hernaiz grounds out, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Athletics0%
TEX 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 4 – 0 ATH
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-131 / +109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Athletics favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Burger homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Evan Carter scores. Corey Seager scores. (inning 1) — -28% Rangers
8Lawrence Butler homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.8–1
8Josh Jung doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Kyle Higashioka scores. Josh Smith scores.8–0
8Athletics challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Josh Smith singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Corey Seager scores. Joc Pederson scores. Kyle Higashioka to 2nd.6–0
3Jake Burger homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.4–0
1Jake Burger homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Evan Carter scores. Corey Seager scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
