White Sox at Athletics
Last play · Zack Gelof grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
Win probability
Athletics0%
CWS 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 5 – 1 ATH
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 10 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Andrew Benintendi scores. (inning 1) — -12% White Sox
8Andy Ibáñez grounds out, third baseman Miguel Vargas to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Max Muncy scores.9–2
7Munetaka Murakami hits a grand slam (6) to center field. Chase Meidroth scores. Luisangel Acuña scores. Andrew Benintendi scores.9–1
5Andrew Benintendi doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Luisangel Acuña scores.5–1
5Luisangel Acuña doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Chase Meidroth scores.4–1
4Nick Kurtz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Everson Pereira. Shea Langeliers scores.3–1
3Edgar Quero grounds out to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd. Sam Antonacci to 2nd.3–0
3Colson Montgomery singles on a ground ball to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Munetaka Murakami scores. Miguel Vargas to 3rd.2–0
1Colson Montgomery doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Andrew Benintendi scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
