White Sox at Athletics
Last play · Jacob Wilson flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
Win probability
Athletics0%
CWS 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 7 – 1 ATH
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9 ↑
fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miguel Vargas homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Chase Meidroth scores. (inning 2) — -15% White Sox
7Jacob Wilson pops out to catcher Edgar Quero in foul territory.7–4
7Zack Gelof doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Derek Hill. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Darell Hernaiz scores. Zack Gelof to 3rd.7–3
5Colson Montgomery homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.7–1
5Munetaka Murakami homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Vargas scores.6–1
2Darell Hernaiz homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.4–1
2Miguel Vargas homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Chase Meidroth scores.4–0
2Derek Hill homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Edgar Quero out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Chase Meidroth scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
