Guardians at Athletics
CLE14–
ATH6Last play · Carlos Cortes grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
Win probability
Athletics0%
CLE 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 5 – 4 ATH
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10 ↑
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -138
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez scores. (inning 5) — -31% Guardians
9Steven Kwan grounds into a double play, third baseman Brett Harris to shortstop Darell Hernaiz to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Austin Hedges scores. Brayan Rocchio out at 2nd. Steven Kwan out at 1st.14–6
9Brayan Rocchio singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Travis Bazzana scores. Austin Hedges to 3rd.13–6
8Nick Kurtz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Angel Martínez. Carlos Cortes scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd. Lawrence Butler to 2nd.12–6
8Kyle Manzardo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan scores.12–5
7Travis Bazzana singles on a ground ball to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Rhys Hoskins scores. Chase DeLauter scores. Petey Halpin to 3rd.9–5
7David Fry walks. Steven Kwan scores. Rhys Hoskins to 3rd. Chase DeLauter to 2nd.7–5
6Jeff McNeil out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder David Fry. Carlos Cortes scores. Jacob Wilson to 3rd.6–5
6David Fry homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.6–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.