Guardians at Athletics
Last play · Brayan Rocchio flies out to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom.
Win probability
Athletics100%
CLE 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 4 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +104
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Zack Gelof homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 5) — +22% Athletics
6Jeff McNeil doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Chase DeLauter. Zack Gelof scores. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Austin Wynns scores.1–7
5Brent Rooker singles on a ground ball to shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Darell Hernaiz scores. Jacob Wilson to 2nd.1–4
5Tyler Soderstrom homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
5Zack Gelof homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
5Chase DeLauter homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
2Colby Thomas homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
