Guardians at Athletics
Last play · Tyler Soderstrom grounds out, first baseman Kyle Manzardo to pitcher Cade Smith.
Win probability
Athletics0%
CLE 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 5 – 4 ATH
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10 ↑
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -138
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rhys Hoskins doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Colby Thomas. Steven Kwan scores. Chase DeLauter scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd. (inning 5) — -25% Guardians
7Brent Rooker singles on a line drive to left fielder Angel Martínez. Jacob Wilson scores. Shea Langeliers to 3rd. Nick Kurtz to 2nd.8–5
7Brayan Rocchio doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Bo Naylor scores.8–4
7Bo Naylor doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Colby Thomas. Travis Bazzana scores.7–4
7Rhys Hoskins homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.6–4
5Angel Martínez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Colby Thomas. Kyle Manzardo scores.5–4
5Rhys Hoskins doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Colby Thomas. Steven Kwan scores. Chase DeLauter scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd.4–4
4Zack Gelof singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Darell Hernaiz scores. Tyler Soderstrom scores.2–4
2Chase DeLauter doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Colby Thomas. Travis Bazzana scores. Bo Naylor scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
