Cardinals at Athletics
Last play · Brent Rooker strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Athletics0%
STL 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 ATH
Tied through 5
Total runs
10
opened 10
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+101 / -122
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shea Langeliers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Jeff McNeil scores. Colby Thomas scores. Nick Kurtz to 2nd. (inning 7) — +44% Athletics
9Jordan Walker doubles (10) on a fly ball to right fielder Colby Thomas. JJ Wetherholt scores. Iván Herrera to 3rd.5–4
9Iván Herrera singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Thomas Saggese scores. JJ Wetherholt to 2nd.4–4
7Shea Langeliers singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Jeff McNeil scores. Colby Thomas scores. Nick Kurtz to 2nd.3–4
7Zack Gelof homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
6Nolan Gorman singles on a fly ball to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Masyn Winn scores.3–1
6Jordan Walker homers (12) on a line drive to right center field.2–1
5Victor Scott II homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Nick Kurtz homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
