Yankees at Athletics
NYY13–
ATH8Last play · Darell Hernaiz grounds out, pitcher David Bednar to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
Win probability
Athletics0%
NYY 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 13 – 3 ATH
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-172 / +142
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rice doubles (14) on a ground ball to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Max Schuemann scores. Austin Wells scores. Paul Goldschmidt to 3rd. (inning 3) — -23% Yankees
8Nick Kurtz doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Darell Hernaiz scores.13–8
7Jonah Heim homers (2) on a line drive to right center field. Nick Kurtz scores. Henry Bolte scores.13–7
7Brent Rooker homers (8) on a line drive to left center field.13–4
3Cody Bellinger singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Ben Rice scores.13–3
3Ben Rice triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Carlos Cortes. Max Schuemann scores. Austin Wells scores.12–3
3Max Schuemann doubles (3) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Trent Grisham scores. Anthony Volpe scores.10–3
3Anthony Volpe singles on a line drive to center fielder Lawrence Butler. José Caballero scores. Trent Grisham to 3rd.8–3
3Trent Grisham singles on a line drive to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Aaron Judge scores. Cody Bellinger scores. José Caballero to 2nd.7–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.