Brewers at Athletics
Last play · Jeff McNeil strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Athletics0%
MIL 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 5 – 8 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
13.5
opened 11.5 ↑
fair over 49.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-113 / -107
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew Vaughn doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. William Contreras scores. Blake Perkins scores. (inning 9) — -44% Brewers
12Brice Turang reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Jeff McNeil. Christian Yelich scores.15–14
10Jonah Heim homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.14–14
10Nick Kurtz homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Shea Langeliers scores.14–13
10Shea Langeliers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell. Henry Bolte scores.14–11
10William Contreras homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Christian Yelich scores. Brice Turang scores.14–10
10Jackson Chourio out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lawrence Butler in foul territory. David Hamilton scores. Christian Yelich to 2nd.11–10
9Andrew Vaughn doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. William Contreras scores. Blake Perkins scores.10–10
8Jackson Chourio walks.8–10
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
