Rockies at Athletics
Last play · Brett Sullivan lines out to right fielder Lawrence Butler.
Win probability
Athletics100%
COL 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 0 – 2 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
14.5
opened 13.5 ↑
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+134 / -162
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cole Carrigg homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Karros scores. TJ Rumfield scores. (inning 6) — -46% Rockies
8Lawrence Butler singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Max Muncy scores. Henry Bolte to 3rd.4–6
7Zack Gelof strikes out swinging.4–5
6Max Muncy doubles (6) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Jacob Wilson scores. Zack Gelof scores.4–4
6Cole Carrigg homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Karros scores. TJ Rumfield scores.4–2
6Troy Johnston out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Henry Bolte. Willi Castro scores. Kyle Karros to 3rd.1–2
5Nick Kurtz homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
5Shea Langeliers homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
