Angels at Athletics
Last play · Nick Kurtz walks. Lawrence Butler scores. Henry Bolte to 3rd. Zack Gelof to 2nd.
Win probability
Athletics100%
LAA 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 10 – 4 ATH
Angels led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 48.7% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+134 / -162
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonah Heim homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Tyler Soderstrom scores. (inning 9) — +49% Athletics
10Nick Kurtz walks. Lawrence Butler scores. Henry Bolte to 3rd. Zack Gelof to 2nd.11–12
9Jonah Heim homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Tyler Soderstrom scores.11–11
8Max Muncy homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Lawrence Butler scores.11–9
7Jacob Wilson homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Tyler Soderstrom scores.11–7
6Zack Gelof singles on a fly ball to left fielder Wade Meckler. Lawrence Butler scores.11–5
6Nolan Schanuel homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.11–4
5Logan O'Hoppe homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Jo Adell scores. Oswald Peraza scores.10–4
4Zach Neto homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.7–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
