Angels at Athletics
Last play · Denzer Guzman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Athletics100%
LAA 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 5 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 10
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -157
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shea Langeliers homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Zack Gelof scores. Nick Kurtz scores. (inning 1) — +24% Athletics
1Henry Bolte out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jose Siri. Jacob Wilson scores.0–5
1Tyler Soderstrom homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.0–4
1Shea Langeliers homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Zack Gelof scores. Nick Kurtz scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
