Angels at Athletics
Last play · Jacob Wilson flies out to center fielder Jose Siri.
Win probability
Athletics0%
LAA 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 4 – 5 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 51.8% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Denzer Guzman homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Vaughn Grissom scores. Nolan Schanuel scores. (inning 8) — -42% Angels
9Zach Neto homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. Jose Siri scores.9–7
8Denzer Guzman homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Vaughn Grissom scores. Nolan Schanuel scores.7–7
7Nick Kurtz homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Zack Gelof scores.4–7
5Jo Adell strikes out swinging.4–5
4Nick Kurtz singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jo Adell. Zack Gelof scores. Nick Kurtz to 2nd. Nick Kurtz advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Jo Adell.3–5
2Donovan Walton homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Nolan Schanuel scores. Denzer Guzman scores.3–4
1Henry Bolte singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Joey Meneses to 2nd.0–4
1Joey Meneses singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Wade Meckler. Jacob Wilson scores. Tyler Soderstrom to 2nd.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
