Dodgers at Athletics
Last play · Joey Meneses strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Athletics0%
LAD 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 5 – 3 ATH
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 10.5 ↑
fair over 52.1% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-186 / +153
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Pages homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Miguel Rojas scores. (inning 4) — -26% Dodgers
9Nick Kurtz walks. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer scores. Henry Bolte to 2nd. Wild pitch by pitcher Jack Dreyer.9–4
8Freddie Freeman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Colby Thomas. Dalton Rushing scores. Shohei Ohtani to 2nd.9–3
6Shohei Ohtani homers (18) on a line drive to right field. Miguel Rojas scores. Dalton Rushing scores.8–3
4Andy Pages homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Miguel Rojas scores.5–3
4Max Muncy homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.3–3
2Henry Bolte grounds into a force out, shortstop Mookie Betts to second baseman Miguel Rojas. Alika Williams scores. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer out at 2nd. Henry Bolte to 1st.2–3
2Joshua Kuroda-Grauer singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Max Muncy scores. Alika Williams to 3rd.2–2
2Colby Thomas homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
