Dodgers at Athletics
Last play · Max Muncy called out on strikes.
Win probability
Athletics0%
LAD 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 5 – 1 ATH
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
11
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-158 / +131
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tommy Edman homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Freddie Freeman scores. Kyle Tucker scores. (inning 3) — -26% Dodgers
7Colby Thomas homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Joey Meneses scores.9–3
7Dalton Rushing singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colby Thomas. Tommy Edman scores.9–1
7Miguel Rojas out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Henry Bolte. Teoscar Hernández scores.8–1
7Tommy Edman singles on a line drive to left fielder Joey Meneses. Mookie Betts scores. Teoscar Hernández to 2nd.7–1
6Miguel Rojas homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
3Tommy Edman homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Freddie Freeman scores. Kyle Tucker scores.5–1
1Jonah Heim singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Shea Langeliers scores.2–1
1Teoscar Hernández out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Colby Thomas. Freddie Freeman scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
