Nationals at Athletics
Last play · Tommy White flies out to right fielder Dylan Crews.
Win probability
Athletics0%
WSH 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 8 – 2 ATH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 10 ↑
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-111 / -109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Curtis Mead doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Jacob Young scores. Nasim Nuñez scores. (inning 3) — -26% Nationals
9Henry Bolte hits a ground-rule double (7) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer scores.23–4
9Shea Langeliers homers (22) on a line drive to left field.23–3
9Daylen Lile homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Dylan Crews scores. Harry Ford scores.23–2
9Harry Ford singles on a ground ball to center fielder Henry Bolte. José Tena scores. Dylan Crews to 3rd.20–2
9Dylan Crews doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Henry Bolte. Andrés Chaparro scores. José Tena to 3rd.19–2
7Andrés Chaparro homers (3) on a line drive to left field. James Wood scores. Curtis Mead scores.18–2
7Curtis Mead doubles (16) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Nasim Nuñez scores. James Wood to 3rd.15–2
6Daylen Lile singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. CJ Abrams scores.14–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
