Marlins at Athletics
Last play · Brian Serven grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Liam Hicks.
Win probability
Athletics0%
MIA 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 6 – 0 ATH
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-102 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonah Heim singles on a ground ball to center fielder Esteury Ruiz. Lawrence Butler scores. Max Muncy scores. (inning 9) — +14% Athletics
9Jonah Heim singles on a ground ball to center fielder Esteury Ruiz. Lawrence Butler scores. Max Muncy scores.9–8
9Joshua Kuroda-Grauer strikes out swinging.9–6
9Liam Hicks grounds out softly, pitcher Elvis Alvarado to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Otto Lopez scores. Heriberto Hernández to 3rd.9–5
8Jonah Heim hits a grand slam (9) to right field. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer scores. Carlos Cortes scores. Max Muncy scores.8–5
8Carlos Cortes doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Griffin Conine. Lawrence Butler scores. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer to 3rd.8–1
6Heriberto Hernández homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.8–0
6Otto Lopez homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.7–0
3Otto Lopez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Carlos Cortes. Jakob Marsee scores. Brian Navarreto to 3rd.6–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
