Nationals at Athletics
WSH1–
ATH15Last play · Dylan Crews grounds into a force out, shortstop Jacob Wilson to second baseman Donovan Walton. Daylen Lile out at 2nd.
Win probability
Athletics100%
WSH 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 6 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 11 ↓
fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-148 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Wilson homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 1) — +13% Athletics
9Jorbit Vivas out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Keibert Ruiz scores.1–15
8Jeff McNeil singles on a ground ball to right fielder James Wood. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer scores. Donovan Walton to 3rd.0–15
7Shea Langeliers doubles (17) on a fly ball to right fielder James Wood. Jeff McNeil scores. Jacob Wilson scores. Tyler Soderstrom scores.0–14
7Jacob Wilson singles on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Crews. Lawrence Butler scores. Jeff McNeil to 2nd.0–11
7Jeff McNeil singles on a line drive to right fielder James Wood. Donovan Walton scores. Lawrence Butler to 3rd. Fielding error by right fielder James Wood.0–10
7Carlos Cortes homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.0–9
6Tyler Soderstrom homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Jeff McNeil scores.0–8
2Joshua Kuroda-Grauer grounds into a force out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to shortstop CJ Abrams. Jacob Wilson scores. Shea Langeliers to 3rd. Carlos Cortes out at 2nd. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer to 1st.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.