Nationals at Athletics
Last play · Tyler Soderstrom grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr.
Win probability
Athletics0%
WSH 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 5 – 1 ATH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 11 ↓
fair over 52.3% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-148 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Abrams homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Curtis Mead scores. (inning 5) — -21% Nationals
9Jacob Wilson singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Jeff McNeil scores.5–2
5Dylan Crews homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
5CJ Abrams homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Curtis Mead scores.4–1
4Harry Ford doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Dylan Crews scores.2–1
3Tyler Soderstrom singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Alika Williams scores.1–1
3Curtis Mead grounds out, shortstop Jacob Wilson to first baseman Tommy White. Nasim Nuñez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
