Tigers at Athletics
Last play · Henry Bolte flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Athletics0%
DET 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 4 – 2 ATH
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 11 ↓
fair over 49.7% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-126 / +105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gleyber Torres homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin McGonigle scores. (inning 5) — -28% Tigers
9Jeff McNeil singles on a bunt ground ball to third baseman Kevin McGonigle. Tyler Soderstrom scores.8–6
8Henry Bolte homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Tommy White scores. Lawrence Butler scores.8–5
8Kevin McGonigle singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Zach McKinstry scores. Kevin McGonigle to 2nd.8–2
7Spencer Torkelson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom, deflected by third baseman Tommy White. Riley Greene scores. Eduardo Valencia to 2nd.7–2
6Max Clark homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Spencer Torkelson scores.6–2
5Gleyber Torres homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin McGonigle scores.4–2
4Jacob Wilson grounds into a force out, third baseman Kevin McGonigle to second baseman Gleyber Torres. Henry Bolte scores. Jonathan Ornelas out at 2nd. Jacob Wilson to 1st.2–2
3Lawrence Butler singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Jacob Wilson scores. Tommy White to 2nd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
