Rays at Athletics
Last play · Brian Serven lines out to left fielder Jonny DeLuca.
Win probability
Athletics0%
TB 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 7 – 2 ATH
Rays led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-222 / +205
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Cortes doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr., deflected by center fielder Cedric Mullins. Donovan Walton scores. Zack Gelof scores. (inning 3) — +23% Athletics
8Lawrence Butler homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.8–4
8Zack Gelof homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.8–3
8Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Henry Bolte. Richie Palacios scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd.8–2
4Liam Hicks homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Jonathan Aranda scores. Junior Caminero scores.7–2
4Junior Caminero singles on a line drive to left fielder Carlos Cortes. Yandy Díaz scores. Jonathan Aranda to 2nd.4–2
3Carlos Cortes doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Victor Mesa Jr., deflected by center fielder Cedric Mullins. Donovan Walton scores. Zack Gelof scores.3–2
3Rays challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Rays challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Cedric Mullins doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Carlos Cortes. Junior Caminero scores. Liam Hicks out at home on the throw, left fielder Carlos Cortes to shortstop Donovan Walton to catcher Brian Serven.3–0
2Yandy Díaz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Jack Perkins. Cedric Mullins scores. Richie Palacios to 3rd. Fielding error by pitcher Jack Perkins.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
