Rangers at Athletics
Last play · Henry Bolte grounds out, third baseman Ezequiel Duran to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Athletics0%
TEX 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 3 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.6% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-118 / +110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wyatt Langford homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Corey Seager scores. (inning 6) — -31% Rangers
9Jarred Kelenic singles on a ground ball to center fielder Henry Bolte. Evan Carter scores. Jake Burger to 2nd.5–3
6Wyatt Langford homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Corey Seager scores.4–3
6Corey Seager singles on a ground ball to center fielder Henry Bolte. Brandon Nimmo scores.2–3
5Nicky Lopez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Henry Bolte. Jake Burger scores.1–3
2Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Henry Bolte homers (6) on a line drive to left field. Brian Serven scores. Alika Williams scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
