Twins at Athletics
Last play · Brooks Lee flies out to center fielder Henry Bolte.
Win probability
Athletics100%
MIN 0%ATH 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 2 ATH
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10 ↑
fair over 48.6% · hold 4.4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +116
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Cortes homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Alika Williams scores. (inning 2) — +20% Athletics
7Victor Caratini grounds out, third baseman Zack Gelof to first baseman Tommy White. Kaelen Culpepper scores.2–4
7Kaelen Culpepper doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Kody Clemens scores.1–4
6Donovan Walton singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Keaschall. Tommy White scores. Donovan Walton to 2nd.0–4
6Tommy White doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Lawrence Butler scores.0–3
2Carlos Cortes homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Alika Williams scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
