Orioles at Athletics
Last play · Tommy White grounds out, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Coby Mayo.
Win probability
Athletics0%
BAL 100%ATH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 2 – 0 ATH
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-147 / +137
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Athletics favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colton Cowser homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 5) — -18% Orioles
9Leody Taveras walks.5–3
8Carlos Cortes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Leody Taveras. Donovan Walton scores. Michael Stefanic to 3rd.4–3
6Donovan Walton hit by pitch. Jeff McNeil scores. Zack Gelof to 3rd. Lawrence Butler to 2nd.4–2
6Lawrence Butler walks. Jonah Heim scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd. Zack Gelof to 2nd.4–1
6Leody Taveras doubles (15) on a ground ball to left fielder Carlos Cortes. Dylan Beavers scores. Coby Mayo scores.4–0
5Colton Cowser homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
3Leody Taveras hits a ground-rule double (14) on a line drive to right-center field. Coby Mayo scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
