Skip to content
Scoreboard
MLB

Mariners at Athletics

Scoreboard
SEA16–ATH1
Top 8th
0-0, 2 out
Inn12345678RHE
SEA2302203416211
ATH0010000·131
Last play · Pitching Change: Carlos Cortes replaces Yunior Tur, batting 7th.
Due up Raleigh, Rodríguez
Win probability
Athletics0%
SEA 100%ATH 0%
Leverage
low
0.0×vs an average PA
a run for Mariners moves home WP
0% → 0% (0 pts) · 0.78 exp. runs this inning
Projected final
SEA 17.6 – 2 ATH
total ~19.5 · 80% range 17–23
First 5 (F5)
final
SEA 9 – 1 ATH
Mariners led after 5

Us vs the market

DraftKings · exchange
Athletics win — ours
0%
Exchange
1%
1.0M contracts traded
Book (pregame)
43%
posted before first pitch

Shown for reference only. Our side model measures at a coin flip (Brier 0.253 vs 0.250), so a gap here is not an edge — it is three independent guesses, and the two market numbers are the better-informed ones.

Total runs — ours
19.5
Exchange
—
no ladder yet
Book (pregame)
10.0
before first pitch — not comparable

Ours and the exchange are LIVE numbers — they already contain the runs on the board. The book column is the pregame line and is not comparable to them mid-game.

Exchange's implied distribution
13.5+100%
14.5+100%
15.5+100%
16.5+100%
17.5+77%
18.5+62%

Exchange prices are public market data from Kalshi; book lines are from DraftKings via ESPN. Prices only — Gridpex does not accept, place, or route wagers.

Victor RoblesRHB · 0.628 OPS
.258/.317/.311vs Carlos Cortes (SHP)platoon edge to the pitcher (RHB vs SHP, HR ×0.98)
Inning 1: Dominic Canzone homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. J.P. Crawford scores.Inning 2: Randy Arozarena homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. Weston Wilson scores. J.P. Crawford scores.Inning 3: Shea Langeliers grounds into a force out, third baseman Weston Wilson to second baseman Cole Young. Henry Bolte scores. Jeff McNeil out at 2nd. Shea Langeliers to 1st.Inning 4: Weston Wilson singles on a line drive to center fielder Henry Bolte. Michael Arroyo scores.Inning 4: Randy Arozarena singles on a ground ball to center fielder Henry Bolte, deflected by second baseman Donovan Walton. Weston Wilson scores.Inning 5: Cole Young homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Naylor scores.Inning 7: Michael Arroyo homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.Inning 7: J.P. Crawford homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Weston Wilson scores.Inning 8: Josh Naylor doubles (21) on a ground ball to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Victor Robles scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.Inning 8: Cole Young singles on a ground ball to second baseman Donovan Walton. Julio Rodríguez scores. Brock Rodden to 3rd.Inning 8: Michael Arroyo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Brock Rodden scores. Cole Young to 2nd.Inning 8: Lazaro Montes walks. Cole Young scores. Michael Arroyo to 3rd. Weston Wilson to 2nd.
Athletics favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓

Biggest swing · Dominic Canzone homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. J.P. Crawford scores. (inning 1) — -21% Mariners

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.