Athletics at Braves
Last play · Drake Baldwin pops out to second baseman Andy Ibáñez.
Win probability
Braves0%
ATH 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 5 – 2 ATL
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+129 / -156
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Braves favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Wilson hits a ground-rule double (2) on a line drive down the left-field line. Andy Ibáñez scores. Lawrence Butler scores. Denzel Clarke to 3rd. (inning 2) — -24% Athletics
5Ronald Acuña Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Dominic Smith scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd.5–2
5Shea Langeliers homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
4Andy Ibáñez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Max Muncy scores.4–1
2Jacob Wilson hits a ground-rule double (2) on a line drive down the left-field line. Andy Ibáñez scores. Lawrence Butler scores. Denzel Clarke to 3rd.3–1
2Andy Ibáñez singles on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Max Muncy scores.1–1
1Drake Baldwin homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
