Guardians at Braves
Last play · Jonah Heim pops out to third baseman José Ramírez in foul territory.
Win probability
Braves0%
CLE 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 0 ATL
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Braves favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rhys Hoskins grounds out, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson. Angel Martínez scores. José Ramírez to 3rd. Chase DeLauter to 2nd. (inning 6) — -14% Guardians
9Daniel Schneemann singles on a line drive to center fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Angel Martínez scores. José Ramírez scores.6–0
9Angel Martínez doubles (3) on a fly ball to shortstop Mauricio Dubón.4–0
8Chase DeLauter doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Daniel Schneemann scores.3–0
6Rhys Hoskins grounds out, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson. Angel Martínez scores. José Ramírez to 3rd. Chase DeLauter to 2nd.2–0
1José Ramírez homers (2) on a line drive to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
