Guardians at Braves
Last play · Brayan Rocchio flies out to center fielder Mauricio Dubón.
Win probability
Braves100%
CLE 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 9 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -188
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Braves favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mauricio Dubón doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Mike Yastrzemski scores. (inning 2) — +10% Braves
8Austin Riley doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to left fielder CJ Kayfus. Drake Baldwin scores. Matt Olson scores.1–13
8Matt Olson doubles (8) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Jorge Mateo scores. Drake Baldwin to 3rd.1–11
8Drake Baldwin grounds into a force out, third baseman Daniel Schneemann to shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Mauricio Dubón scores. Jorge Mateo to 3rd. Ronald Acuña Jr. out at 2nd. Drake Baldwin to 1st.1–10
6Rhys Hoskins homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–9
5Mauricio Dubón singles on a line drive to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Kyle Farmer scores. Mauricio Dubón out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Daniel Schneemann to shortstop Brayan Rocchio.0–9
5Kyle Farmer doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Angel Martínez. Austin Riley scores. Ozzie Albies scores.0–8
5Ozzie Albies singles on a ground ball to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Matt Olson scores. Austin Riley to 3rd.0–6
4Dominic Smith homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Ozzie Albies scores.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
