Tigers at Braves
Last play · Matt Olson homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Ozzie Albies scores.
Win probability
Braves100%
DET 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 3 – 2 ATL
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 51.3% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-143 / +119
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Braves favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 9) — +55% Braves
9Matt Olson homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Ozzie Albies scores.3–4
3Riley Greene homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
2Gleyber Torres grounds out to first baseman Matt Olson.2–2
2Kevin McGonigle singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Wenceel Pérez scores. Jace Jung to 3rd.1–2
1Ozzie Albies homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Drake Baldwin scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
