Tigers at Braves
Last play · Ronald Acuña Jr. challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Ronald Acuña Jr. called out on strikes.
Win probability
Braves0%
DET 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 0 – 2 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 52.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Braves favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gleyber Torres out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Eli White. Matt Vierling scores. (inning 8) — -26% Tigers
9Dillon Dingler doubles (6) on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Matt Vierling scores. Hao-Yu Lee out at home on the throw, left fielder Mike Yastrzemski to shortstop Mauricio Dubón to catcher Drake Baldwin.5–2
9Matt Vierling singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Wenceel Pérez scores. Matt Vierling to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Mike Yastrzemski.4–2
8Gleyber Torres out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Eli White. Matt Vierling scores.3–2
8Matt Vierling doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Kerry Carpenter scores.2–2
6Matt Vierling singles on a fly ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson to 2nd.1–2
3Mauricio Dubón singles on a line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Ozzie Albies scores.0–2
2Eli White singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Mauricio Dubón scores. Kyle Farmer to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
