Nationals at Braves
Last play · Chadwick Tromp singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dylan Crews. Eli White scores.
Win probability
Braves100%
WSH 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 0 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 49.9% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+159 / -194
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Braves favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Abrams triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. James Wood scores. Andrés Chaparro scores. (inning 10) — -44% Nationals
11Chadwick Tromp singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dylan Crews. Eli White scores.4–5
10Mauricio Dubón singles on a ground ball to shortstop CJ Abrams. Chadwick Tromp scores. Ronald Acuña Jr. to 2nd.4–4
10Chadwick Tromp singles on a ground ball to center fielder Dylan Crews. Ha-Seong Kim scores.4–3
10CJ Abrams triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. James Wood scores. Andrés Chaparro scores.4–2
8CJ Abrams homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
7Ha-Seong Kim singles on a bunt ground ball to first baseman Luis García Jr. Austin Riley scores. Dominic Smith to 2nd.1–2
7Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews. Michael Harris II scores. Austin Riley to 3rd.1–1
6Curtis Mead homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
