Pirates at Braves

Scoreboard

PIT2–ATL3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Truist Park · PIT 34-32 · ATL 45-21

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	1
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	·	3	3	1

Last play · Endy Rodríguez strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Braves100%

PIT 0%ATL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 2 – 0 ATL

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+133 / -161

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Braves favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Michael Harris II doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Dominic Smith scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Jorge Mateo scores. (inning 7) — +60% Braves

Scoring plays

PIT–ATL · 3 total

7Michael Harris II doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Dominic Smith scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Jorge Mateo scores.2–3

3Nick Gonzales grounds into a double play, shortstop Jorge Mateo to second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson. Jared Triolo scores. Henry Davis to 3rd. Spencer Horwitz out at 2nd. Nick Gonzales out at 1st.2–0

1Spencer Horwitz homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.