Pirates at Braves

Scoreboard

PIT3–ATL6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Truist Park · PIT 34-31 · ATL 44-21

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	3	8	1
ATL	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	·	6	9	0

Last play · Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Braves100%

PIT 0%ATL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 3 – 6 ATL

Braves led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-103 / -117

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Braves favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Dominic Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Olson scores. (inning 5) — +18% Braves

Scoring plays

PIT–ATL · 8 total

5Dominic Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Olson scores.3–6

5Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.3–4

5Brandon Lowe out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mauricio Dubón. Jared Triolo scores.3–3

4Tyler Callihan doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Nick Gonzales scores. Oneil Cruz out at home on the throw, right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. to first baseman Matt Olson to catcher Austin Wynns.2–3

4Nick Gonzales doubles (11) on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Bryan Reynolds scores.1–3

3Austin Riley grounds out, third baseman Tyler Callihan to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.0–3

1Austin Riley doubles (10) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Mauricio Dubón scores. Dominic Smith to 3rd.0–2

1Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.