Giants at Braves
Last play · Andrew Knizner challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Mike Yastrzemski called out on strikes.
Win probability
Braves0%
SF 100%ATL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 8 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+179 / -193
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Braves favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Turner Hill doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Andrew Knizner scores. Nate Furman scores. (inning 6) — -29% Giants
9Jonah Cox homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.7–3
6Bryce Eldridge singles on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Turner Hill scores.6–3
6Turner Hill doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Andrew Knizner scores. Nate Furman scores.5–3
6Osleivis Basabe homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
5Drake Baldwin singles on a fly ball to left fielder Drew Gilbert. Sean Murphy scores. Austin Riley to 2nd.2–3
5Jonah Cox singles on a bunt ground ball to second baseman Ozzie Albies. Rafael Devers scores. Bryce Eldridge to 2nd.2–2
2Michael Harris II homers (23) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
1Matt Olson grounds out, shortstop Christian Koss to first baseman Bryce Eldridge. Drake Baldwin scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
