Brewers at Braves
Last play · Ozzie Albies homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Olson scores.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIL 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 1 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Braves favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Olson scores. (inning 9) — +55% Braves
9Ozzie Albies homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Olson scores.3–4
7Austin Riley grounds out, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers. Ozzie Albies scores.3–2
7Jackson Chourio grounds out sharply, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson. Cooper Pratt scores. Joey Ortiz to 2nd.3–1
6Andrew Vaughn singles on a fly ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Brice Turang scores. William Contreras to 3rd.2–1
6Gary Sánchez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Eli White. Jackson Chourio scores. Brice Turang to 3rd.1–1
5Ozzie Albies homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
