Rangers at Braves
TEX5–
ATL8Last play · Jake Burger flies out to left fielder Mauricio Dubón.
Win probability
Braves100%
TEX 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 4 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-117 / -103
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Braves favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley singles on a line drive to center fielder Cam Cauley. Matt Olson scores. Mauricio Dubón scores. Eli White to 2nd. (inning 7) — +14% Braves
9Wyatt Langford homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.5–8
8Drake Baldwin homers (18) on a fly ball to center field.4–8
8Kyle Higashioka doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Brewer Hicklen. Cam Cauley scores.4–7
7Brewer Hicklen doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cam Cauley. Eli White scores. Austin Riley out at home on the throw, center fielder Cam Cauley to shortstop Ezequiel Duran to catcher Kyle Higashioka.3–7
7Austin Riley singles on a line drive to center fielder Cam Cauley. Matt Olson scores. Mauricio Dubón scores. Eli White to 2nd.3–6
5Jake Burger singles on a ground ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Wyatt Langford scores. Brandon Nimmo to 2nd.3–4
5Josh Jung out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Joc Pederson scores.2–4
5Wyatt Langford doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Mauricio Dubón. Nicky Lopez scores. Joc Pederson to 3rd.1–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.