Padres at Braves

Scoreboard

SD5–ATL6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Truist Park · SD 50-53 · ATL 60-42

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	9	1
ATL	0	1	0	4	0	0	1	0	·	6	9	0

Last play · Luis Rengifo strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Braves100%

SD 0%ATL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 3 – 5 ATL

Braves led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.3% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+215 / -268

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Braves favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Dominic Smith homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Michael Harris II scores. Mauricio Dubón scores. (inning 4) — +38% Braves

Scoring plays

SD–ATL · 7 total

8Ty France homers (16) on a fly ball to left field. Manny Machado scores.5–6

7Drake Baldwin homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.3–6

4Dominic Smith homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Michael Harris II scores. Mauricio Dubón scores.3–5

4Ozzie Albies homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2

2Michael Harris II homers (19) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1

2Luis Rengifo singles on a line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Freddy Fermin scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. to 3rd.3–0

2Fernando Tatis Jr. walks. Gavin Sheets scores. Freddy Fermin to 3rd. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.