Marlins at Braves

Scoreboard

MIA1–ATL4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Truist Park · MIA 58-57 · ATL 69-45

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIA	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	0
ATL	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	·	4	10	1

Last play · Owen Caissie strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Braves100%

MIA 0%ATL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIA 1 – 4 ATL

Braves led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 48.5% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+116 / -123

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Braves favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Mauricio Dubón scores. Austin Riley scores. (inning 2) — +16% Braves

Scoring plays

MIA–ATL · 4 total

5Joe Mack grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson. Owen Caissie scores. Jakob Marsee to 3rd.1–4

3Mauricio Dubón singles on a ground ball to right fielder Griffin Conine. Michael Harris II scores.0–4

2Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Mauricio Dubón scores. Austin Riley scores.0–3

2Austin Riley hits a ground-rule double (17) on a line drive down the left-field line. Ozzie Albies scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.