Dodgers at Braves
Last play · Tommy Edman flies out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
Win probability
Braves100%
LAD 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 3 – 3 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-153 / +142
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Braves favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Matt Olson scores. (inning 8) — +29% Braves
8Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Matt Olson scores.3–4
4Alex Call singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Tommy Edman scores.3–3
2Hunter Feduccia singles on a line drive to left fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Kyle Tucker scores. Alek Thomas to 2nd.2–3
2Alek Thomas singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Tommy Edman scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd.1–3
1Ozzie Albies out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Alek Thomas. Mauricio Dubón scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd.0–3
1Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Matt Olson scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd.0–2
1Mauricio Dubón singles on a fly ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Drake Baldwin scores. Matt Olson to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
