Rangers at Orioles
Last play · Samuel Basallo challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Evan Carter called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles100%
TEX 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 7 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-102 / -118
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Orioles favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Samuel Basallo homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 5) — +14% Orioles
8Corey Seager homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.3–8
6Dylan Beavers homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–8
5Taylor Ward out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Dylan Beavers scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd.2–7
5Jeremiah Jackson singles on a line drive to right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Coby Mayo scores. Dylan Beavers to 3rd. Leody Taveras to 2nd.2–6
5Samuel Basallo homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.2–5
4Ezequiel Duran singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Danny Jansen scores. Josh Jung to 3rd. Ezequiel Duran to 2nd.2–4
4Josh Jung singles on a ground ball to right fielder Colton Cowser. Andrew McCutchen scores. Danny Jansen to 2nd.1–4
3Leody Taveras doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Pete Alonso scores. Dylan Beavers scores. Colton Cowser to 3rd.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
