Astros at Orioles

Scoreboard

HOU11–BAL5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · HOU 12-20 · BAL 15-16

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	5	1	0	4	1	0	0	0	0	11	14	0
BAL	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	1	5	6	2

Last play · Samuel Basallo flies out to center fielder Daniel Johnson.

Win probability

Orioles0%

HOU 100%BAL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 11 – 3 BAL

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+113 / -136

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Dustin Harris singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes scores. (inning 1) — -21% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–BAL · 8 total

9Coby Mayo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dustin Harris. Colton Cowser scores.11–5

7Gunnar Henderson doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Leody Taveras scores. Weston Wilson to 3rd.11–4

5Isaac Paredes lines out to left fielder Dylan Beavers.11–3

4Leody Taveras triples (1) on a ground ball to right fielder Cam Smith. Pete Alonso scores. Tyler O'Neill scores.10–3

4Pete Alonso doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dustin Harris. Taylor Ward scores.10–1

4Yainer Diaz singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Isaac Paredes scores. Christian Walker to 3rd.10–0

4Dustin Harris out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Yordan Alvarez scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd.9–0

4Christian Walker singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Brice Matthews scores. Yordan Alvarez to 3rd. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.8–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.