Athletics at Orioles
Last play · Adley Rutschman grounds out, first baseman Nick Kurtz to pitcher Joel Kuhnel.
Win probability
Orioles0%
ATH 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 5 – 0 BAL
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9 ↑
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -126
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Orioles favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brent Rooker homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Nick Kurtz scores. Shea Langeliers scores. (inning 3) — -26% Athletics
9Colby Thomas singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Shea Langeliers scores. Brent Rooker to 2nd.6–2
8Colton Cowser singles on a line drive to center fielder Lawrence Butler. Leody Taveras scores. Dylan Beavers scores.5–2
5Shea Langeliers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Nick Kurtz scores.5–0
3Brent Rooker homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Nick Kurtz scores. Shea Langeliers scores.4–0
1Shea Langeliers singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. Nick Kurtz scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
