Rays at Orioles

Scoreboard

TB1–BAL6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · TB 34-18 · BAL 25-30

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	9	2
BAL	0	3	0	0	3	0	0	0	·	6	8	0

Last play · Oliver Dunn grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Win probability

Orioles100%

TB 0%BAL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 1 – 6 BAL

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 9 ↓

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-114 / -105

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Blaze Alexander singles on a ground ball to second baseman Richie Palacios. Samuel Basallo scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd. Jeremiah Jackson to 2nd. (inning 2) — +15% Orioles

Scoring plays

TB–BAL · 5 total

5Samuel Basallo homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Jackson Holliday scores. Gunnar Henderson scores.1–6

2Taylor Ward out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jeremiah Jackson scores. Blaze Alexander to 3rd.1–3

2Jackson Holliday singles on a ground ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Leody Taveras scores. Jeremiah Jackson to 3rd. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.1–2

2Blaze Alexander singles on a ground ball to second baseman Richie Palacios. Samuel Basallo scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd. Jeremiah Jackson to 2nd.1–1

1Jonathan Aranda singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Colton Cowser. Chandler Simpson scores.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.